Liam Halligan



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Area of interest: Economics

Journals/Organisation: The Sunday Telegraph

Email: [mailto:liam.halligan@telegraph.co.uk liam.halligan@telegraph.co.uk]

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Website: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/liamhalligan

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Biography:
About: Lived in Russia in the 1990s and became a founding board member of the Russian Prosperity Fund and the Prosperity Cub Fund. Prosperity Capital Management profile

Education: The John Lyon School; Warwick University: First Class BSc. (Econ); Oxford University: M.Phil (Econ). Has also held research posts at the IMF and London School of Economics

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Current position/role: Economics Editor


 * also writes/written for: The Wall Street Journal, The Business, The New Statesman, Prospect, House Magazine and The Parliamentary Monitor

Other roles/Main role: Chief Economist at Prosperity Capital Management

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Broadcast media: Presented Wake up to Money on BBC Radio Five Live; researched, wrote and presented a number of Dispatches and 30 Minutes documentaries for Channel Four

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The Sunday Telegraph:
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Remit/Info: Confronts the 'head on the key issues facing the British and global economy'

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Email: [mailto:liam.halligan@telegraph.co.uk liam.halligan@telegraph.co.uk]

Website: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/liamhalligan

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 * This oil price rise will drive inflation upwards - Oil prices are on the up. Since early June, Brent crude has surged from just over $100 to reach $108.7 per barrel last week – a three-month high. West Texas Intermediate, the US oil benchmark, meanwhile hit $107, a level not seen since March 2012 - 14th July 2013
 * Eurozone crisis over? Not by a long, long way - 'The euro is no longer under existential threat,” Herman Van Rompuy said three weeks ago. “Financial stability has been restored.” - 7th July 2013
 * Mr Tyrie’s 'radical idea’ is not radical enough - There’s been so much in the news that a UK-based economist could be forgiven for fretting over what to write about this weekend - 23rd June 2013
 * An export culture shock needs to begin at the G8 - For all the fanfare of hosting this week's G8 summit, the UK remains locked in a dire economic predicament. For all our gloating at the eurozone, Britain's national income is still well below its 2008 peak - 16th June 2013
 * Trade tiff is sign not to start war with Beijing - Beijing’s instant and ultra-assertive response to a solar panel spat is a sign that the West would be crazy to ignore - 9th June 2013
 * Lack of genuine reform is sowing seeds of next crisis - America is on the mend. Or is it? The world’s largest economy is certainly generating some upbeat headlines - 2nd June 2013
 * Cuts, BBC? What cuts? - What neither Chancellor George Osborne nor Evan Davis want to admit is that public spending, far from being reduced, is still racing upwards - 2nd June 2013
 * Fears over US stimulus highlight Japan’s fragility - The centrepiece of “Abenomics” – the policy creed of new prime minister Shinzo Abe – has been, and continues to be, the implementation of “quantitative easing” on a scale approaching that of the Bank of England and America’s Federal Reserve - 26th May 2013
 * Markets are on a crazy, sugar-fuelled journey - 'When the music stops,” Chuck Prince famously observed back in mid-2007, “things will get complicated” - 19th May 2013
 * A Brazilian WTO chief could prove painful for the West - Late last Tuesday, after months of intense lobbying, and campaigning visits to 47 countries, Roberto Azevedo was confirmed as the next director general of the World Trade Organisation - 12th May
 * Threat to the eurozone is as strong as ever - The eurozone economy has contracted every single quarter since the end of 2011. During the first three months of 2013, the region's GDP shrank by a punishing 0.6pc, having fallen at a similar pace the quarter before - 5th May 2013
 * Doing the IMF’s bidding would put Britain at risk - So the UK has dodged the dreaded “triple-dip” - 28th April 2013
 * Japan joins ugly contest with tsunami of money - Political tensions on the Korean peninsula have lately escalated. In February, North Korea carried out a nuclear weapons test, defying tighter United Nations sanctions - 21st April 2013
 * EU’s poorest will only take so much austerity - 'It was Europe that toppled her.” That’s the conventional wisdom, repeated endlessly in recent days, on the subject of how Baroness Thatcher lost her grip on power - 14th April 2013
 * A banking reboot would sow the seeds of growth - The British economy showed a glimmer of improvement last week. The UK's composite PMI index, a measure of business confidence as reported in surveys from large and small firms, rose from 51.1 in February to 51.4 in March - 7th April 2013
 * 'Bail-in’ that throws the euro’s future into doubt - 'This sucker could go down.” So said George W Bush back in 2008, at the height of the global financial storm - 30th March 2013
 * Will Cyprus be the pin to burst euro balloon? - It’s tempting to dismiss events in Cyprus as insignificant. Mainstream politicians and investors, desperate to keep the flame of Western recovery flickering and the asset price rally on track, insist that the country is “a special case” - 24th March 2013
 * George Osborne must do more than talk tough on debt - George Osborne faces a bleak set of circumstances ahead of this Wednesday’s Budget. The economy is extremely fragile and Britain has just endured the ignominy of a sovereign downgrade - 17th March 2013
 * China still in fine form as 'Grandpa Wen’ bows out - Over in China, the two-week annual plenary session of the National People’s Congress is in full swing - 10th March 2013
 * Negative interest rates - a ruse to ease QE fears? - The suggestion that the Bank of England should charge banks to hold their cash would have serious drawbacks, not least for savers - 3rd March 2013
 * Britain's credit downgrade is a call to live within our means - So Moody’s has downgraded the UK. This country’s sovereign debt has dropped one notch from AAA, the lowest possible credit risk, to AA1. For the first time since 1978, Britain has lost its triple-A rating - 24th February 2013
 * Crisis eases, but Europe’s not out of the woods yet - Recession grips the eurozone. The economy of the 17-nation bloc contracted by 0.6pc over the fourth quarter of 2012, we learnt last week, a much worse result than expected and the third consecutive quarter of real gross domestic product (GDP) decline - 17th February 2013
 * Good start Mr Carney, but we’re still in a mess - Mark Carney seemed to give a convincing account of himself at the Treasury Select Committee last week - 10th February 2013
 * Falling yen set to spark renewed currency wars - History shows currency disputes can escalate from rhetorical spats into disastrously counter-productive economic conflict - 3rd February 2013
 * Government must act boldly to revive growth - Last week ended with some pretty bleak news for the UK economy. “Output shrinks yet again,” the broadcast news bulletins boomed. “Britain now faces the dreaded triple-dip recession.” - 27th January 2013
 * We must fix the broken Western state model - What will be the hottest topic at this week's World Economic Forum in Davos? - 20th January 2013
 * Rising food prices will reap a bitter harvest -British shoppers should brace themselves for “massive” food price rises in 2013, says the aptly named Mark Price, managing director of Waitrose. Is he correct, or is this just another retailer trying to soften up public opinion before imposing price hikes? - 6th January 2013
 * Keynes’ great idea could lead us all over the edge - So here we are, at the turn of the year, with the global economy tottering on the edge of America’s fiscal cliff - 30th December 2012
 * Do not be seduced by a 'fracking’ gas bonanza - For several years now, storm clouds have loomed large over much of the Western world. The sub-prime debacle dealt the “advanced” economies a shocking blow - 16th December 2012
 * Real recovery task is to scale back the state - The economics of George Osborne’s Autumn Statement fell woefully short of what is needed to rescue the UK from its parlous state - 8th December 2012
 * Banks must be honest about their toxic losses - This weekend, I'm feeling somewhat vindicated. More significantly, perhaps, for the first time in quite a while, I'm also rather hopeful - 2nd December 2012
 * There is only one real answer - split the banks - Back in late 2008, in the immediate aftermath of the sub-prime crisis, those of us calling for a new “Glass-Steagall” split between commercial and investment banking were dubbed “Neanderthals” and “hot-heads” - 25th November 2012
 * Compromise can save Obama from fiscal cliff - "We’re not as cynical as the pundits believe,” proclaimed President Barack Obama last Wednesday. “We are greater than the sum of our individual ambitions.” - 11th November 2012
 * A man with the vision to lead the Bank of England forward - There is the quiet, but unmistakable, sound of a leaf being turned". So said Andrew Haldane last week, the Bank of England's youthful executive director for financial stability - 5th November 2012
 * A Romney victory could spook the US markets - With just over a week to go before the US election, it’s too close to call. President Barack Obama is rediscovering his touch as a ladies’ man, polling well ahead among female voters just as he did when he won the White House in 2008 - 27th October 2012
 * Fixing our moribund, zombie banks is the key to UK recovery - Forget the absurd “growth versus austerity” debate, the only way to heal the economy is to fix the banks - 21st October 2012
 * What David Cameron failed to say in his speech - The party conference season is over for another year. While it was uninspiring midterm fare for the most part, I offer some observations - 14th October 2012
 * Brace yourselves for another round of money printing - In late 2009, the UK crawled out of recession – defined as at least two successive quarters in which the economy is contracting - 7th October 2012
 * What if Spain refuses to play Mario Draghi’s game? - So “Super Mario” did it. The European Central Bank president on Thursday announced “unlimited bond buying” to tame profligate eurozone members’ borrowing costs - 9th September 2012
 * Will Mario Draghi deliver on his promise to buy bonds? - With Ben Bernanke's deeply inconclusive Jackson Hole missive now behind us, all eyes are firmly fixed on European Central Bank president, Mario Draghi - 2nd September 2012
 * Russia joins the 'global club’ as economy slows - One of the very few pieces of good news in terms of the global economy last week was that Russia became the 156th member of the World Trade Organisation - 26th August 2012
 * A message from the 1970s on state spending - "We used to think you could spend your way out of recession and increase employment by boosting government spending,” boomed the Prime Minister, Jim Callaghan, at the 1976 Labour Party conference - 19th August 2012
 * Super Mario hopes for gold from Angela Merkel - Most investors have been at the beach in recent weeks – or fixated by the splendid London Olympics - 12th August 2012
 * Is the US losing patience with the eurozone debacle? - Having shown the eurozone a lot of latitude, the rest of the world - particularly America - is on the brink of losing patience - 22nd July 2012
 * Debt crisis: China wheels out ways to boost slow economy - Two pieces of economic news emerged last week that I can't avoid mentioning here. The first is that China's economy grew by 7.6pc in the second quarter, its weakest rate since 2009 - 15th July 2012
 * 'Liborgate’ could trigger crucial banking reform - A Glass-Steagall split needs to happen and someone needs to get it done. There really is no alternative - 8th July 2012
 * Italy has won this euro battle, but not the war - Long-suffering investors, desperate for some good news, have seized on the headlines from the latest in a long series of “last-ditch” European summits - 2nd July 2012
 * Eurozone nations are stuck in a 'doom loop’ - The euro was a very bad idea yet fiscal union is far worse and will fail, but not before it spreads bitterness across Europe - 24th June 2012
 * Bank ‘throws kitchen sink’ at credit problem - The eurozone crisis seems on the cusp of some kind of denouement. The trouble is that no one can possibly know what that long-awaited outcome will be - 17th June 2012
 * UK and Europe languish in a 'zombie bank’ malaise - Britain and Europe are failing to tackle the problem of technically insolvent banks and are trying to buy time with QE, summits, and other can-kicking measures - 10th June 2012
 * For the eurozone, the worst is yet to come - This euro crisis is now getting extremely serious. Events are happening quickly, closing-in on policy-makers and threatening to engulf us - 28th May 2012
 * Broken banking system is keeping growth at bay - Last weekend's election results in France and Greece, we're told, show that eurozone voters want "growth, not austerity". In the UK, too, the deficit-cutting coalition Government is being widely castigated for "lacking a growth policy" - 14th May 2012
 * Bankers' vitriol has masked Sir Mervyn King's uncomfortable message - I don't know Sir Mervyn King particularly well. I've talked with the Bank of England Governor á deux just a few times over the years, always at official function - 7th May 2012
 * Pump panic highlights the West's slavery to crude oil - Advance countries can't do without crude - witness petrol panic in Britain and US gasoline prices nearing the politically deadly “four bucks a gallon” - and claims of US energy independence just don't ring true - 2nd April 2012
 * Budget 2012: sadly, George Osborne hasn't changed the big picture - George Osborne's latest Budget was, as expected, "fiscally neutral". The Chancellor kept to his "austerity plan", the aim of which is to cut the UK's annual budget deficit to zero by 2016-17 - 26th March 2012
 * Forget 'economic spring' - Greek outlook is stormy - While last week's debt swap was obviously important, there is still a very real danger of Greece needing yet another bail-out quite soon and eventually leaving the euro - 12th March 2012
 * Germany must decide if it wants the eurozone to survive or perish - European debt and equity markets ended a tumultuous week with a rally on Friday. So shares in the US and across the rest of the world rose too. But the threat of a "euroquake" – a systemic collapse which would make Lehman Brothers look tame – is by no means over. Far from it - 12th November 2011
 * the latest eurozone bail-out is destined to fail within weeks'' - I want last week's European bail-out to work. My sincere hope is that collective and decisive action by the eurozone's large member states will stabilize global markets, at least for a while, so allowing the global economy to catch its breath - 30th October 2011



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 * http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liam_Halligan